The Sentinel

What is the stock market telling us now?

The stock market action in the month of January and early February provides interesting clues regarding its future direction.  If you read  the special January forecast issue of The Sentinel Economic and Financial Newsletter you know what our outlook is for 2010 and beyond.  Did recent stock market action change or confirm the forecast?  Read more in the February issue of The Sentinel Economic and Financial Newsletter. 

In the last two years individual investors, institutional investors, business leaders, government leaders and more importantly investment advisers were blindsided by the collapse of the stock and real estate market and the accompanying credit conditions.  Institutions and advisers in whom trust had been placed, failed in their moment of greatest need. Were these economic conditions truly unforseen as many are now stating?  The last seven months has produced a powerful rally in the stock market leading to optimism for an economic recovery.  Is the foundation for an economic recovery present?

The Austrian School of Economics illustrates how human behavior is a vital component of understanding financial and economic trends. The stock market, the real estate market, the bond market and other investment categories are greatly affected by the collective mass of behavior.  The anticipation of this behavior reveals market trends.  As an individual investor, your mission is to make sure you are not caught by surprise when the trend changes. 

The Beefeater depicted above, is the ceremonial guard of the Tower of London whose responsibility it is to guard the British crown jewels.  A Sentinel is a soldier stationed to guard against a surprise attack.  Thus was born the idea of a publication to help investors against suprise attacks on their portfolios. As you protect your investments in a world fraught with misinformation, this publication will be your Sentinel.

The Sentinel's purpose is to educate readers on investment topics and economic trends. Oceans of information are available but how much do readers truly understand? Investment failure is often the result of misunderstood information and an inability to identify changes in trend.  People invest based on what others are doing.  This type of crowd-following can be deadly during trend changes.

Rather than simply telling you what to do, The Sentinel explains the reason for taking specific action. The explanation is given with historical context and contemporary examples. Such an approach applies reasoning to investment action rather than the herding instinct typical to most investors.

 Oliver Wendell Holmes is credited with saying,

"The mind, once expanded to the dimensions of larger ideas, never returns to its original size."

The ideas presented will be large and you will never think about investments in the same manner.

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