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The Sentinel - your economic and investment guardian
 

  About The Sentinel

 

The Sentinel is a publication created to simplify investment information allowing its readers to make informed decisions about their investments.  Jim Mosquera publishes its content.
 
Three reasons to read our publication:
 
1.  We use our understanding of markets, money, and credit to provide an analysis of current trends and accompanying trend changes.  Markets are natural expressions of what people do.  Market participants act in a manner beneficial to themselves while at the same time providing satisfaction to others.  This understanding is crucial in deciphering natural market phenomenon from external factors temporarily altering market behavior. 
 
2.  Our analysis is independent and not influenced by relationships with specific individuals, companies, governments or agencies.
 
3.  The investment environment that lies ahead will lay to waste some of the theories and practices which made some investors successful in the past.  Investing is typically an emotional response yet investing models do not make this recognition.  It is this emotional attachment that leads to a herding response when it comes to investing.  We do not herd, we lead. 
 
Learn more in the following video
 
 

About Mr. Mosquera:

 

  • Bachelor of Science in Industrial Engineering

  • Master of Science in Industrial Engineering

  • Developer of commodity futures and options software

  • Active in trading since 1987

  • Series 3 exam completion (Commodities Futures Certification)

  • Developer of a patented service pricing application in telecommunications industry

  • Initiated a TED spread position before the stock market crash of 1987.  A TED spread is the simultaneous entry into a Eurodollar and Treasury Bill futures position.  Profit is made from a widening or narrowing of the price spread.  In October of 1987, Mr. Mosquera opined that a widening spread (purchase of Treasury Bill and sale of Eurodollar futures) was at hand.  This correct prediction netted a multi-hundred percent profit (relative to margin) in less than one month.

  • Predicted a stock market drop of noticeable proportions early in the summer of 1998.  He advised co-workers to exit 401(k) investments that were exposed to diversified stock funds and direct them instead to interest only accounts.  The stock market fell more than 20%.  He advised reentry later that fall. 

  • Identified ensuing stock market bubble in 1999, moved personal investments away from stocks, liquidated all company stock options that were "in-the-money".   Advised friends and family to take similar action.  The stock market made a historic top in March of 2000. 

  • Initiated a series of “short” positions in stock market indices from 2005-2007.  These short positions were taken in Inverse Stock Index funds.  These funds' returns are inversely related to the stock market.  When the stock market goes down, as it did in 2007, these funds increase in value proportionately or in some cases 2x as much.  The Sentinel's assertion is that 2007 marked a multi-generational stock market top. 

  • Reallocated 401(k) investments towards bond funds from 2002-2004. Began systematic reduction in company stock allocation in 2006 to move towards greater cash position.

  • Liquidated in-the-money stock options from 1998-2000 and again in 2006 in anticipation of stock declines.

  • Advised against real estate speculation and investment ownership in 2003 due to bubble conditions. Accurately forecast the tsunami in the states of CA and NV.

     

     

 

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